The Signal and the Noise, by Nate Silver


This is “What’s Making Me Happy This Week,” a weekly feature inspired by the Pop Culture Happy Hour podcast. It’s pretty self-explanatory.

What’s Making Me Happy This Week is a book that I’ve been reading for the past ten days or so and will likely finish tonight, The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail – But Some Don’t, by Nate Silver. I have long been a fan of Silver’s, who made his name with his uncanny 2008 U.S. election predictions at his blog FiveThirtyEight (making Time Magazine‘s 2009 list of the World’s 100 Most Influential People in the process). Before that Silver was the creator of PECOTA, a system for forecasting the performance and career development of Major League Baseball players. PECOTA – which was sold almost immediately to Baseball Prospectus, which also hired Silver to be a writer, manage and further develop…

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